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Mortgage News Daily


Mortgage News Daily

Posted To: MND NewsWire

Analysts were expecting existing home sales to rebound in May after they fell behind year-ago levels in April. However, the National Association of Realtors® (NAR) reported a second straight monthly loss , with the Northeast the only region where sales improved. Sales of existing single-family homes, townhomes, condos, and cooperative apartments were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.43 million in May, a 0.4 percent decrease from April and down 3.0 percent from May 2017. It was the third straight year-over-year decline. April sales were also downgraded from 5.46 million to 5.45 million. The May results came in below the lowest of analysts' expectations as reported to Econoday. Those predictions ranged from 5.44 million to 5.65 million with a consensus of 5.50 million. Single-family...(read more)

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6/20/2018 8:55:42 AM

Posted To: MBS Commentary

I talk quite a bit about the " long-term trend " or the "longer-term trend" these days. It most frequently comes up in some iteration of the following: "until the long-term trend has been clearly defeated," etc. But what exactly are we talking about? The following chart has several iterations. TOP: This is the most relevant of the 3 for the lock/float outlook. It leaves some room for corrections that take rates back to the lower boundary, but there's no guarantee we'll hit the lower end before we return to the upper end. MIDDLE: This is what I would consider to be the general counterattack leading back from the all-time lows in 2012. Yes, yields did move a bit lower (to new all-time lows) in 2016, but I tend to view that as a temporary divergence due to...(read more)

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6/20/2018 8:06:14 AM

Posted To: Pipeline Press

onight/tomorrow morning is the summer solstice. I am in Minneapolis at an ACUMA workshop and where the sun will set tonight at 9:03. (I suppose ACUMA could have held its event in Anchorage, where the sun sets at 11:42 tonight, which would be cool.) I mention credit unions because a) their market share is growing, and b) the talk is how President Trump is trying to reshape the National Credit Union Administration board by nominating former NCUA vice-chair Rodney Hood to fill an expired seat on the three member board. Fannie and Freddie Changes Those rascally, friendly competitors just don’t stop to take a breath and seem to be busy trademarking every phrase and new product. (Watch out for a little “TM” or an “R” with a circle around it in promotional stuff.) On...(read more)

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6/20/2018 6:59:56 AM

Posted To: MND NewsWire

Mortgage interest rates waffled, moving in different directions depending on the product last week, but the volume of mortgage applications increased rather decisively . The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) said its Market Composite Index, a measure of that volume, surged by 5.1 percent during the week ended June 15. It was the largest increase in total mortgage volume since the week ended January 5, 2018. On an unadjusted basis the volume was up 3 percent. Applications for both refinancing and home purchases increased compared to the week ended June 8. The Refinance Index gained 6 percent and the refinancing share of applications grew from 35.6 percent to 36.8 percent. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index increased by 4.0 percent from one week earlier and the unadjusted Purchase Index...(read more)

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6/20/2018 6:16:58 AM

Posted To: MBS Commentary

June began with yields plateauing after rising from the Italy-inspired lows of late May. 10yr yields managed to avoid breaking above 3% until last week's much-anticipated Fed Day. Even then, the Fed and the ECB ultimately gave way to the slow, steady rally that's persisted into the current week. Until today, that rally was nice, but forgettable, as it merely got us back in line with the lowest levels of the narrow range seen so far this month. Today's rally is arguably forgettable as well. It hasn't marked a meaningful departure from the pace of the past few sessions. In fact, the domestic trading hours were just as boring as yesterday's. The only difference today is that we started with a bit of a lead thanks to overnight trade war headlines. As soon as Chinese equities...(read more)

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6/19/2018 2:15:58 PM

Posted To: Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage rates didn't move much today, despite a somewhat decent improvement in bond markets. Overnight, trade war brinksmanship between the US and China had investors seeking the safe haven of bond markets. Excess demand for bonds pushes rates lower, all other things being equal. As is often the case with safe haven trades, US Treasuries saw more of the benefit than the bonds that underlie mortgage rates. The net effect is a move back in line with last Friday's levels for the average mortgage lender. Loan Originator Perspective Bond markets rallied as trade war fears grew today. Tariffs hurt economic growth, and boost bonds. I'm not sure rate sheets reflect the improvements yet, will float today's loans overnight and hope gains get passed along. - Ted Rood Talks of a Trade War continue to...(read more)

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6/19/2018 1:19:00 PM

Posted To: MND NewsWire

The White House announced on Monday the nomination of Kathy Kraninger as head of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) to replace acting director Mick Mulvaney. The appointment caught many in Washington by surprise as Kraninger is not widely known and has not previously been active in the consumer arena according to many reports. Kraninger has been an associate director at the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), which Mulvaney also serves as director, for about a year. At OMB she oversees $250 billion in funding for seven cabinet departments and 30 agencies, including the Department of Homeland Security. Her previous role was as a staff member of the Senate Appropriations Subcommittee on Homeland Security. She has also worked for the Department of Transportation. Looking beyond...(read more)

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6/19/2018 9:27:38 AM

Posted To: MND NewsWire

Residential construction data was mixed for May as reported on Tuesday by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. Housing starts recovered strongly from their April loss while permits continued lower. Housing starts were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,350,000, a 5.0 percent improvement from April's revised, (from 1,287,000) 1,286,000 units. The May number was up 20.3 percent from the estimate reported for last May of 1,122,000 housing starts. Starts were right at the top of the estimates provided by analysts to Econoday . They were looking for results in the range of 1,270,000 to 1,350,000 with a consensus of 1,320,000. Construction was begun on a seasonally adjusted 936,000 single family houses, a 3.9 percent month-over-month gain and up 18.3...(read more)

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6/19/2018 7:59:03 AM

Posted To: Pipeline Press

When I grow up I want to live in a ranch style… shipping container? If you have a builder complaining about lumber costs or labor to frame a house, there’s always metal. “From rooftop decks to custom wood floors, these repurposed shipping containers are anything but boring.” Air conditioning is a must, and the Hapag-Lloyd sign on the side might add character. In other housing news, we have this headline from Florida: “Freedom Mortgage CEO drops $20M on Ocean Ridge Estate.” Nice digs! Upcoming Training and Events Freddie Mac is offering up a, “Discover the Possibilities with Home Possible Mortgages” webinar on June 20th. (Home Possible and Home Possible Advantage are Freddie Mac’s low down payment offerings.) “Join us for this free...(read more)

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6/19/2018 6:59:41 AM

Posted To: MBS Commentary

You're welcome! I knew if I lamented the slow and boring nature of the week ahead yesterday that I could trick the bond market into doing something exciting. Sure, it was a 50/50 chance that my little ploy could backfire, but at least there would be something exciting to talk about. And now here we are with 10yr yields staring the day down more than 4bps. Fake superstitions aside , bonds have quickly found some inspiration on what began as a dud of a week. As Asian markets returned from yesterday's holiday absence, the blossoming trade tensions between the US and China took a toll on equities markets and helped bond yields move lower. With the help of a bigger jump during the very first hours of overnight trading in Asia (during which, Treasuries are not trading on the cash market)...(read more)

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6/19/2018 6:57:01 AM


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